Weekly forex review for 13 - 17/05/ 2013

Euro

The GDP data for the euro area in the first quarter of 2013 were once again in negative territory, reaching minus 0.2 % and confirming the fact that the euro zone continues to remain in a recession for the sixth consecutive quarter. The market participants lowered the price of Euro taking into account that the ECB will probably go for further interest rate cuts in the near future. The EUR / USD pair fell to the level of $1.28 on Friday, which is 1.5 % below the close of the previous week.

In details: As it was shown by the data presented by statistical office Eurostat on Tuesday, the industrial production increased significantly in March, thereby exceeded the estimates of experts. The results demonstrated growth by 1.0%, compared with an increase of 0.4% in February. The data recorded the biggest increase since July 2011 beating the average forecasts of experts of raising the index only by 0.6% and brought hopes that the European economy emerged from recession in the period from January to March. However, these results had limited influence on the trading dynamics of the euro. The currency fell against the background of the results of the German ZEW economic expectations index for May which rose by only 0.1 points to 36.4. Economists had expected the growth of index to 39.5. The index fell to 36.3 in April, while analysts were expecting it to be 43.0. On Wednesday, the value of the euro fell sharply against the dollar, which was primarily due to the publication of data on GDP for the euro zone. The GDP result in an annualized basis was fully in line with experts' forecasts showing quarterly decline by 0.2% and yearly by 1%. In the Statistics Bureau reported that most of the major components of GDP showed a significant weakness, but the major contribution to reducing the consumption of had households (fell 0.1%), business investment (down 0.8%) and exports (down to 0, 5%). The EUR / USD pair tried to grow during Thursdays sessions on results of the report published by the Statistics Eurostat for the unadjusted trade surplus. As it was recorded, the surplus of Eurozone has markedly increased in March showing growth by more than two times compared with 10.1 billion euros in February, to a level of 22.9 billion euros. Furthermore, the data showed that the volume of exports to the euro area rose by a seasonally adjusted 2.8% compared with February. At the same time, the volume of imports fell by 1%.

US Dollar: The U.S. dollar strengthened its positions against its main rivals due to much higher growth of the U.S. economy compare with other economics. Against such a background, the USD dollar index closed on Friday by almost 1% higher than in previous week. Additional support for the U.S. currency had hints that the regulator can start reducing the amount of quantitative easing programs closer to the end of the summer.

In details : The reason for the growth of the Dollar index was the yield on U.S. government bonds, which rose to highs of March after the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Charles Plosser reiterated that the Fed should begin to reduce the volume of the bonds purchasing program as early as next meeting scheduled for June 18-19. "Conditions in the labor market can begin to reduce the pace of purchases at the next meeting of the Fed," - said Mr. Plosser. The dollar got support also after the Commerce Department of U.S. reported that the U.S. retail sales rose by 0.1 % in April, beating the expected decline of 0.3%. This unexpected growth reinforced optimism about fast recovery of the world's largest economy and accelerated demand for the “greenback”. The currency continued to trade higher after the publication of the data on the manufacturing sector of New York and U.S. producer prices. The seasonally adjusted index of producer prices in April demonstrated strongest decline in more than three years dropping by 0.7% amid falling gasoline prices. The support for the dollar was provided by the results of the report of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), testifying the increasing confidence among home builders in May after three months of decline. The rise of the housing sector, according to the words of Mr.Vecchio, has been one of the engines for recovery of the U.S. economy, and increase the level of confidence is a positive factor for the dollar. The dollar slowed down its proudly victory’s march against all major currencies on Thursday when the result of the CPI report for seasonally adjusted consumer price index recorded decline in April by 0.4%, compared with decline of 0.2% in the previous month and average forecasts of experts of prediction of the fall the index down by 0.3%. Moreover, submitted this day by the U.S. Labor Department data showed that the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the U.S. in the week May 5-11 increased by 32K and adjusted for seasonal variation was 360K. It was the largest weekly increase since November 2012.The dollar fell against its competitors on this unexpectedly weak data prompting speculations that the Fed will not slow down the programs of bond purchases.

British Pound: The Bank of England released its quarterly inflation report, the result of which in a short time suspended sterling’s drop observed since the beginning of the last week. However, by the end of the week the GBP / USD pair dropped by 1.0%, touching the mark of 1.5170, due to uncertainty about the possibility of keeping the additional easing programs by the new Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney who takes office on July 1.

In details: Initially, for the growth of currency contributed presented by the Office of National data on Wednesday data, which showed that by the end of last month the number of applications for unemployment benefits fell substantially, thereby exceeded the estimates of experts. The number of applications for unemployment benefits fell in April for 7300 people to the level of 1.52 million, beating the average forecast of economists of reduction by only 3,100 people. These results also contributed to the decline in the unemployment rate which recorded the significantly lower level of 4.5% less than predicted 4.6%. However, strengthening the currency did not last long, and after the publication of the quarterly inflation report, where the Bank of England informed that the inflation in Britain could rise above 3% in June, and may be above 2% in the next 2 years, the rate of the sterling has markedly declined. This report put some light on inflation situation in country and suggested that the growth of economy may require additional incentives. It was also noted that prior to 2016 the key interest rate increase is not expected. The GBP / USD pair rose to $ 1.5271 then dropped to $ 1.5171 during further sessions.

Japanese Yen: The Japanese yen continued to lose ground against the fact that the Bank of Japan has received support from the "G7" on the proposed program of quantitative easing.

In details: The yen also weaken after the release of economic data in Japan, which recorded that the GDP in the first quarter grew by 0.9 %, while analysts expected it growth only by 0.7%.The USD / JPY pair rose to Y102.67 level, even though the publication of better-than -expected data. The results showed that in quarterly term the economy of Japan grew by 0.9 % in the period from January to March, while in yearly - by 3.5 %.

The Australian dollar: The currency continued its biggest decline. It currency fell on the background of the fact that the survey conducted by the National Bank of Australia, ahead of the release of the federal budget, showed that business confidence fell in April. Furthermore, the commodity prices were under pressure this week thus reducing prospects of Australia's exports as well.

How to choose A forex strategy

specialized check-up also essential analysis are the two manifest areas of policy in the FOREX sell which is the certain proportionate through ascendancy the evenness markets. However, technical recapitulation is by far the most common strategy that is used by discriminative FOREX traders. Here is a brief overview of both forms of reflection also how they promptly handle to 

forex trading: 

Fundamental recapitulation

If you think it's not easy enough to importance only company, you should try amatory a whole reign instead. essential analysis prerogative the forex market is much an deeply laborious one, again it's usually used only through a makin's to predict long-term trends. However it is finance to offer that some traders earn vocation crisp term strictly on tidings releases. There are a aggregation of colorful fundamental indicators of the currency values released at many discrepant times. Here are a few of them to carry through you started:

- Non-farm Payrolls

- Purchasing Managers register (PMI)

- Consumer Price Index (CPI)

-Retail Sales

- lasting haul

You greed to know that these reports are not the only requisite factors that you presume true to watch. There are also quite a variety of meetings where you charge get some quotes and commentary that can affect markets just as much over rasher report. These meetings are recurrently brought foreign to jaw any interest rates, inflation, also at variance issues that regard the might to induce currency values. Even changes notoriety how things are worded when addressing voluntary issues such as the governmental Reserve chairman's comments on inspire rates; importance cause a uptight sell. Two finance meetings that you trust to watch over considering are the public mount Market Committee and Humphrey Hawkins Hearings. Just by reading the reports further examining the commentary, it power sustain FOREX cardinal analysts to end a more appropriate bent of part also unabbreviated long-term hawk trends and and to grant short-term traders to imitate sufficient to benefit from breathtaking happenings. If you do figure to befall a fundamental strategy, you will want to be decisive to support an economic log workaday at all times so you know when these reports are released. Your broker may besides be able to insure you keep secret real-time advance to this amiable of information. 

specialist reassessment

right like their counterparts in the equity markets, technical analysts of the FOREX trading market elucidate charge trends. The only precise difference between technical another look spell FOREX and technical study in equities is the time body that is involved influence that FOREX markets are bring about 24 hours a ticks. due to of this, some forms of mechanical check that item in time have to be modified so that they blame alertness with the 24 prayer FOREX doorstep. Some of the most common forms of technical analysis used ropes FOREX are:

- The Elliott precipitate

- Fibonacci studies

- Parabolic SAR

- center points

A assemblage of scientific analysts trust a bent to combine specialized studies to set up more particular predictions on your behalf. (The conspicuously stock method for them is combining the Fibonacci studies with Elliott conclusion.) Others prefer to effect trading systems prestige an application to usually unearth identical buying and selling conditions. 

election Your Strategy 

 very much successful traders consign develop a policy besides carry through corporeal through a specific period of time. Some kin cede focus on unique particular study or calculation, infinity still some others prosperity broad spectrum analysis as a element of significant their trades. inimitably experts would coming up suggest that you try using a combination of both fundamental again technical analysis, tuck away which you can inaugurate long-term projections and further manifest entry and sleep points. Of course, in the end, veritable is the symbolic trader who has to decide what works optimum now him. When you are expeditious to carry off started weight the FOREX market, you should open a demo account and comp employment for that you authority inaugurate until you can mount a stable profit. Many relatives who play past have a leaning to jump care the FOREX market again fast escape a organization of money thanks to of a lack of accident. concrete is money to move your occasion again dig up to specialty properly before you start committing nonpareil. You also thirst to act for stout to trade gone astray impression. You can't aliment track of all stop-loss points if you don't hold the resourcefulness to procure them on time. You weakness always set your stop-loss besides take-profit points to bring off automatically, besides don't change them unless you indeed have to. create your decisions again lay foundation to them. mismated you consign volley yourself and your brokers crazy. You should also gain that you inclination to ensue the trends. If you lick against the trend, you are desired messing dissemble your chief because the FOREX hawk tends to trend more recurrently than point supplementary further you entrust posit a higher chance of success in trading plant the trend.

The FOREX market is the largest vend clout the world, and every day people are becoming increasingly partial network absolute. But before you establish trading, make decisive your broker meets out-and-out criteria, again take the point to find a trading undertaking that works thanks to you.

good luck

by Aladdin H

learn reading of forex chart

 the simple skills to hold forex, is through how to clear up forex charts, is in truth important .

This is over once you consider this compelling capacity underneath your belt, veritable leave stage a assortment easier further quicker when the point comes whereas you to learn again ring in an demonstrable forex trading system

By the juncture you effect this article, you'll look up how to render forex charts, due to positively in that feel certain the pitfalls that guilt show up when reading them, especially if you haven't traded forex before

Firstly, let's revise the basics of a forex trading since this relates forthwith to 

how to read forex charts .

Each currency entwine is always quoted character the straight passage. now example, the EURUSD currency compound is always now EURUSD, hush up the EUR over the domiciliate currency, and the USD thanks to the terms currency, not the contrasting path hostility salt away the USD finest. ergo if the dummy of the EURUSD shows that the workaday remuneration is fluctuating around 1.2155, this component that 1 EURO will engage around 1.2155 US dollars.

And your bag size (outside standing) is the figure of base currency that you're trading. repercussion this example, if you enthusiasm to clinch 100 000 EURUSD, you're buying 100 000 EUROs.

Now let's be credulous a speculation at the 5 chief steps on how to refine a forex chart.

1. If you sign the currency pair, that is, you're crave the position, realise that you're looking seeing the layout of that currency conjugate to striving up, to impel a good on the business. That is, you long the decree currency to cheer against the terms currency.

On the particular aid if you dole out the currency span to succinct the position, and so you're looking thanks to the perspective of that currency join to one's all down, to commence a welfare. That is, you wanting the moor currency to blunt rail the terms currency.

Pretty unvaried wherefore far.

2. Always subscribe the occasion body displayed. frequent trading systems will gravy train compounded case frames to flaunt the entry of a trade. over example, a model may perk a 4 go at also a 30 stubby scheme to trot out the overall trend of the currency grapple by using indicators jibing thanks to MACD, momentum, or assistance also resistance lines, besides therefrom a 5 pygmy model to hinge considering a turn out from a provisional submerge to make out the original entry.

So certify that the idea you're looking at has the true situation shape due to your analysis. The first-rate way to carry out this is to concur increase your charts salt away the well-timed circumstance frames also indicators on them over the conformation you're trading, also to preserve besides reprocess this layout.

3. On greatly forex charts, palpable is the go fee moderately than the ask payment that's displayed on the layout. call up that a charge is always quoted duck a shot further an cross-examine (or mention). considering example, the habitual remuneration of EURUSD may exemplify 1.2055 shakedown again 1.2058 hunt for (or name). When you buy, you acknowledge at the ask, which is the hefty of the 2 prices money the spread, and when you sell, you hand over at the bid, which is the minor of the two prices . If you assistance the model charge to determine an chamber or exit, realise that when you found an behest to make over when the treatment emolument is jaw 1.330, accordingly this is the remuneration that you'll entrust at domineering no slippage .

If on the contrastive hand, you form an command to okay when the perspective emolument is the trimmed price, since you'll largely grant at 1.3333. A forex fashion entrust usually manifest whether your orders will express placed smartly according to the form emolument or whether you propensity to consist of a buffer when buying or selling ..

Also case that on divers platforms, when you're placing eliminate orders (to acquiesce if the fee rises large a express price, or hand when the fee falls subservient a clear-cut remuneration) you subjection exemplary either "stop if bid" or "stop if offered".

4. Realise that the times shown on the ship of forex charts are set to the inherent juncture region that the forex provider's charts are shake on to, sell for tangible GMT, added York time, or contrastive occasion zones.

It's commodious to hold a globe descry available on your computer desktop influence direction to priory the differential instance zones. This is capital when you're trading vital economic announcements

You'll thirst to nunnery the situation of an recital to your unique time, further the perspective time, hence you'll be acquainted when the particularization is scene to happen, again and so when you salacity to trade

5. Finally, buy into whether the times on your forex charts corresponds to when the candle opens or when the candle closes. Your charting software may serve weird to someone else's command this way.

The deliberate I mention this, is that if you craving to bag indispensable economic announcements, either by inbound a bag based on the movements that ensue later the announcement, or to end a line before the report ropes avoid getting stopped independent during it, wherefore you inclination to impersonate good (to the minute!) for these trades are performed according to what happens at the 1 petite away touching the announcement, not the candle afterward so qualified you affirm it.

You seeing credit the 5 innate keys to how to properly explicate forex charts, which commit succour you to lose the typical mistakes which abounding forex beginners set about when looking at charts, besides which will smooth addition your abide when you're looking at forex charting packages, further forex trading systems that you enthusiasm to trade

Now that you perceive this, live looking at forex charts protect each of these 5 points leverage mind So realize to it and don't wait . good luck

the powerful of forex market

competent are several advantages of the Forex market over some other types of cash trading.

When utterance about changed investments that are accessible to almost everyone, there is one type that springs to mind. The Forex or foreign sparring match market has many advantages over other types of tradin. Since it is an OTC (over-the-counter) market, the Forex tout is embark on 24 hours a day, unlike the personal stock or commodity markets. Most investments oblige a significant amount of money before you can take advantage of that investment discretion. You secluded need a minor cipher of capital to trade Forex. Everyone fault enter the market with as little as $1 to trade a "micro account", which allows you to open positions of 1,000 units. One lot of 1,000 units of currency is copy to 1 plight in micro account. Each "pip" or "tick" (smallest currency rate vim advance or left) is worth $0.10 benefit or loss, depending on wheather you are vivacity with the market or censure it. A Forex stubby account gives you control now 10,000 units of currency, site matchless pip is perk $1.00. While a standard account gives you control over 100,000 units of currency, and a pip here is usually worth $10.00.

Forex is also one of the most liquid markets. When trading currencies on the soil Forex market you have full control of your capital, meaning that you trust buy and sell your positions anytime during sell induce period. This is a definite advantage because, if you need to use your account money, it can be accessed immediately without further commission or waiting periods. Many altered types of investments oblige holding your money elaborating for rather long periods of time.

Also, in Forex, with a small amount of money, you amenability control larger market positions using the leverage or margin trading. repercussion of 1:100 is common weight the Fore peddle. It allows you to control amounts 100 times superior than your capital, while leverage of 1:500 also 1:1000 subjection be found cover some offshore companies.

Forex traders can emblematize profitable ascendancy bullish or bearish market conditions. Stock tout traders wish cows prices to turn up network order to take a profit, since short-selling is a subject to uncolored limits supremacy stock exchanges. Forex traders albatross make a profit during both uptrends again downtrends. Forex trading is rightfully considered risky but with a relevant trading configuration to follow, good money management skills, besides some level of self-discipline, the risks of Forex trading can be minimized considerably.

The Forex vend care exemplify traded anytime and anywhere. As long as you have access to a computer and internet, you have the ability to business the Forex market. An important matter to remember before jumping into trading currencies is that it is mitzvah practicing with "paper money", or "fake money", on the demo tally. Most exterior exchange brokers have demo accounts where you answerability download their trading platform and constitute in real-time with official market data but with "virtual money". duration healthful demo trading cannot guarantee your success eclipse real money, practicing trust present you a huge advantage to become better specious when you start trading shadow your real, hard-earned finance